NiP Nearly Qualified for PGL Major Singapore 2026, The MongolZ Drop Out of the Qualification Zone

The race for spots at PGL Major Singapore 2026 is entering its decisive stage. A new VRS simulation has significantly changed the picture across several regions: Ninjas in Pyjamas have almost secured their place, The MongolZ have unexpectedly dropped out of the qualification zone, while Wildcard, Imperial, and TYLOO have gained additional chances to improve their positions.

"1. NiP Nearly Qualified for PGL Major Singapore 2026, The MongolZ Drop Out of the Qualification Zone","1.1. Several Spots Are Still Up for Grabs in Europe","1.2. NiP Move Close to Guaranteed Qualification","1.3. Wildcard and Imperial Gain a Chance in the Americas","1.4. The MongolZ Drop Out of Asia’s Top Five"

Several Spots Are Still Up for Grabs in Europe

At the top of the European ranking, the situation is almost settled. Vitality, MOUZ, Spirit, Aurora, Falcons, and G2 all have a 99.99% qualification probability and are currently projected to start directly from Stage 3.

FUT, BetBoom, Astralis, NiP, HEROIC, and 1win are also inside the qualification zone.

The main uncertainty begins further down the ranking.

• PARIVISION — 76.8%

• FaZe — 73.6%

• Nemiga — 71.2%

• B8 — 61.3%

• NAVI — 51.6%

• Luminosity — 46.9%

According to the model, around six European spots could still change depending on the results of the final LAN events.

NiP Move Close to Guaranteed Qualification

One of the biggest winners of recent weeks has been Ninjas in Pyjamas. Their probability of reaching the Major has risen to 99.8%.

After the arrivals of adamb and Krimbo, the team significantly improved its results and climbed in the VRS standings. NiP are now fighting not only for the invite itself but also for the chance to start the tournament from a later stage.

Falcons are in a much more stable position when it comes to qualification itself, but their Stage 3 spot can no longer be considered completely guaranteed. Following the Thunderpick World Championship, the model estimates the probability of the team dropping below the required cutoff at around 8%.

This means the main question for Falcons is no longer whether they will reach the Major, but what seed they will receive. The team is still projected around fifth or sixth place in Europe, but poor results during the final stretch of the season could force them to begin PGL Major Singapore 2026 from an earlier stage.

Wildcard and Imperial Gain a Chance in the Americas

FURIA and Legacy have almost guaranteed themselves Stage 3 spots, while 9z are in position to start from Stage 2. MIBR, M80, and Liquid are also close to qualification.

The main battle is around Wildcard and Imperial. Their current chances are estimated at around 72.9% and 73.5%, respectively. Strong performances at upcoming LAN events could significantly improve the position of both teams.

The EVPs and All-Stars of ESL Pro League S24

The MongolZ Drop Out of Asia’s Top Five

The most unexpected change happened in the Asian region. The MongolZ, who recently looked like an almost guaranteed Major participant, now have only a 50.1% probability of qualifying.

Ahead of them are BC.Game at 88.9%, TYLOO at 86.5%, FlyQuest at 77%, Chinggis Warriors at 66.6%, and Lynn Vision at 58.8%. 5star are also close behind with 57%.

TYLOO have improved their position particularly noticeably. Qualification for the HyperX Circuit gave the Chinese team another opportunity to earn VRS points and increased their Major chances to 86.5%.

With only a few weeks remaining before the final distribution of invites, NiP have nearly completed their task, while The MongolZ now need to fight their way back into the qualification zone.